Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 79% probability of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting highs of 74–78°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light offshore flow that suppresses marine layer development. Over the past 48 hours, a low-pressure trough responsible for recent rain and mid-60s highs has moved east, allowing solar heating to dominate amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. April climatology at LAX averages 71°F highs, with analogs supporting above-normal warmth in similar ridge setups; however, lingering coastal stratus could cap peaks at 70–71°F per model outliers. Watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution using finalized Wunderground KLAX data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 79%
70-71°F 13%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3.2%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
13%
72°F or higher
79%
72°F or higher 79%
70-71°F 13%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3.2%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
13%
72°F or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 79% probability of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting highs of 74–78°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light offshore flow that suppresses marine layer development. Over the past 48 hours, a low-pressure trough responsible for recent rain and mid-60s highs has moved east, allowing solar heating to dominate amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. April climatology at LAX averages 71°F highs, with analogs supporting above-normal warmth in similar ridge setups; however, lingering coastal stratus could cap peaks at 70–71°F per model outliers. Watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution using finalized Wunderground KLAX data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions