Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 6.6%
最新
$28,999 交易量
最新
$28,999 交易量
2026-04-15
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
30%
13°C
39%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 6.6%
最新
$28,999 交易量
最新
$28,999 交易量
2026-04-15
8°C or below
$5,316 交易量
<1%
9°C
$2,768 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,019 交易量
5%
11°C
$1,547 交易量
14%
12°C
$894 交易量
30%
13°C
$768 交易量
39%
14°C
$3,931 交易量
7%
15°C
$3,683 交易量
3%
16°C
$3,848 交易量
1%
17°C
$2,725 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$1,498 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$28,999結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,999結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions