Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 15%
華氏77度或以下
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
華氏96度或更高
<1%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 15%
華氏77度或以下
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
華氏96度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions