Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
$36,781 交易量
$36,781 交易量
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
$36,781 交易量
$36,781 交易量
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions