National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on June 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,031 交易量
$42,031 交易量
2026-06-04
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,031 交易量
$42,031 交易量
2026-06-04
73°F or below
$187 交易量
No
74-75°F
$681 交易量
No
76-77°F
$1,256 交易量
No
78-79°F
$7,630 交易量
No
80-81°F
$6,022 交易量
No
82-83°F
$4,611 交易量
No
84-85°F
$6,216 交易量
Yes
86-87°F
$5,978 交易量
No
88-89°F
$3,563 交易量
No
90-91°F
$4,323 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$1,565 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$42,031結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,031結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions