Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 交易量
$79,592 交易量
2026-05-01
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 交易量
$79,592 交易量
2026-05-01
27°C or below
$687 交易量
No
28°C
$1,898 交易量
No
29°C
$534 交易量
No
30°C
$3,542 交易量
No
31°C
$8,163 交易量
No
32°C
$5,335 交易量
No
33°C
$6,540 交易量
No
34°C
$7,610 交易量
No
35°C
$17,243 交易量
Yes
36°C
$9,081 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$18,959 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$79,592結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$79,592結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions