Persistent monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal and the monsoon trough aligned through Lucknow, are driving widespread cloud cover and an 80-100% chance of rain or thundershowers on August 25. These factors limit solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures, consistent with recent readings of 32-33°C amid heavy rainfall. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate highs most likely in the 31-33°C range, with limited potential for brief breaks allowing peaks near 34-35°C only if convection weakens substantially. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar monsoon-modulated maxima averaging near 32°C. Updated IMD briefings and model runs through August 24 will refine resolution probabilities for this narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
32°C 35%
33°C 26%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C
26%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 26%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C
26%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal and the monsoon trough aligned through Lucknow, are driving widespread cloud cover and an 80-100% chance of rain or thundershowers on August 25. These factors limit solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures, consistent with recent readings of 32-33°C amid heavy rainfall. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate highs most likely in the 31-33°C range, with limited potential for brief breaks allowing peaks near 34-35°C only if convection weakens substantially. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar monsoon-modulated maxima averaging near 32°C. Updated IMD briefings and model runs through August 24 will refine resolution probabilities for this narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions