Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 22?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$129,245 交易量
$129,245 交易量
2026-04-22
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$129,245 交易量
$129,245 交易量
2026-04-22
21°C or below
$9,855 交易量
No
22°C
$10,090 交易量
No
23°C
$29,029 交易量
No
24°C
$22,644 交易量
Yes
25°C
$20,937 交易量
No
26°C
$12,019 交易量
No
27°C
$8,334 交易量
No
28°C
$5,812 交易量
No
29°C
$4,527 交易量
No
30°C
$3,794 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$2,203 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$129,245結束日期
2026-04-22市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$129,245結束日期
2026-04-22市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions