Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 交易量
$96,510 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 交易量
$96,510 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
$3,991 交易量
No
32°C
$7,846 交易量
No
33°C
$10,762 交易量
No
34°C
$24,197 交易量
No
35°C
$17,664 交易量
Yes
36°C
$17,489 交易量
No
37°C
$9,099 交易量
No
38°C
$2,264 交易量
No
39°C
$1,163 交易量
No
40°C
$1,021 交易量
No
41°C or higher
$1,016 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$96,510結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$96,510結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions