Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Miami's July 7 high will likely fall in the 90–93°F range amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, supporting the market's near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bands. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence frequently introduces marine air and scattered convection that caps peak readings, while any delay in storm initiation or lighter southeasterly flow could allow temperatures to edge higher. Historical July averages near 88–89°F and recent heat-wave conditions elevate the modest probabilities for 94°F-plus outcomes, yet model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of diurnal heating keeps the leading bins closely matched. Updated NHC and local WFO guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日邁阿密的最高溫度？
7月7日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$57,652 交易量
$57,652 交易量
2026-07-07
華氏79度或以下
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98°F或更高
否
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$57,652 交易量
$57,652 交易量
2026-07-07
華氏79度或以下
$775 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,865 交易量
否
82-83°F
$2,273 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,153 交易量
否
86-87°F
$4,183 交易量
否
88-89°F
$7,061 交易量
否
90-91°F
$9,564 交易量
否
92-93°F
$12,946 交易量
是
94-95°F
$10,141 交易量
否
96-97°F
$3,600 交易量
否
98°F或更高
$3,091 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Miami's July 7 high will likely fall in the 90–93°F range amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, supporting the market's near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bands. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence frequently introduces marine air and scattered convection that caps peak readings, while any delay in storm initiation or lighter southeasterly flow could allow temperatures to edge higher. Historical July averages near 88–89°F and recent heat-wave conditions elevate the modest probabilities for 94°F-plus outcomes, yet model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of diurnal heating keeps the leading bins closely matched. Updated NHC and local WFO guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$57,652結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Miami's July 7 high will likely fall in the 90–93°F range amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, supporting the market's near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bands. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence frequently introduces marine air and scattered convection that caps peak readings, while any delay in storm initiation or lighter southeasterly flow could allow temperatures to edge higher. Historical July averages near 88–89°F and recent heat-wave conditions elevate the modest probabilities for 94°F-plus outcomes, yet model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of diurnal heating keeps the leading bins closely matched. Updated NHC and local WFO guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,652結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Miami's July 7 high will likely fall in the 90–93°F range amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, supporting the market's near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bands. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence frequently introduces marine air and scattered convection that caps peak readings, while any delay in storm initiation or lighter southeasterly flow could allow temperatures to edge higher. Historical July averages near 88–89°F and recent heat-wave conditions elevate the modest probabilities for 94°F-plus outcomes, yet model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of diurnal heating keeps the leading bins closely matched. Updated NHC and local WFO guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions