Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 交易量
$135,589 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 交易量
$135,589 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
$4,373 交易量
No
18°C
$6,176 交易量
No
19°C
$4,160 交易量
No
20°C
$17,631 交易量
No
21°C
$27,197 交易量
No
22°C
$29,971 交易量
Yes
23°C
$16,078 交易量
No
24°C
$10,730 交易量
No
25°C
$9,623 交易量
No
26°C
$5,507 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$4,144 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$135,589結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$135,589結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions