Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
30°C 35%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
最新
$21,018 交易量
最新
$21,018 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
最新
$21,018 交易量
最新
$21,018 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
$857 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,568 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,653 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,318 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,720 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,722 交易量
14%
29°C
$1,314 交易量
29%
30°C
$1,346 交易量
35%
31°C
$2,060 交易量
18%
32°C
$2,603 交易量
4%
33°C or higher
$1,985 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$21,018結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,018結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions