MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 交易量
$65,399 交易量
2026-05-02
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 交易量
$65,399 交易量
2026-05-02
10°C or below
$2,061 交易量
No
11°C
$798 交易量
No
12°C
$3,791 交易量
No
13°C
$2,957 交易量
No
14°C
$4,100 交易量
No
15°C
$8,407 交易量
No
16°C
$12,830 交易量
Yes
17°C
$9,094 交易量
No
18°C
$8,542 交易量
No
19°C
$7,235 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$5,584 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$65,399結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,399結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions