Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日武漢氣溫最高？
7月7日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,922 交易量
$61,922 交易量
2026-07-07
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,922 交易量
$61,922 交易量
2026-07-07
23°C or below
$315 交易量
No
24°C
$342 交易量
No
25°C
$1,702 交易量
No
26°C
$4,446 交易量
No
27°C
$4,803 交易量
No
28°C
$7,053 交易量
No
29°C
$5,879 交易量
No
30°C
$7,593 交易量
No
31°C
$10,693 交易量
No
32°C
$6,641 交易量
Yes
33°C or higher
$12,455 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$61,922結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,922結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions