Miami's subtropical climate produces typical late-August overnight lows of 77-78°F based on 1991-2020 NOAA normals at Miami International Airport, with recent years recording 78-80°F on August 27. Persistent warm, humid air under southeast flow and minimal frontal activity maintained these conditions through the date, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for 78-79°F. Historical data show rare dips to 70°F or below require unusual synoptic cooling absent here. An anomalous cold-air intrusion or station-specific measurement variance could theoretically shift results, though model consensus and current observations indicate negligible odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,147 交易量
$6,147 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,147 交易量
$6,147 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Miami's subtropical climate produces typical late-August overnight lows of 77-78°F based on 1991-2020 NOAA normals at Miami International Airport, with recent years recording 78-80°F on August 27. Persistent warm, humid air under southeast flow and minimal frontal activity maintained these conditions through the date, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for 78-79°F. Historical data show rare dips to 70°F or below require unusual synoptic cooling absent here. An anomalous cold-air intrusion or station-specific measurement variance could theoretically shift results, though model consensus and current observations indicate negligible odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions