Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from European models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris on August 29 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling under a moderately moist airmass. Forecast soundings show dew points near 14–16°C and light-to-moderate winds, which reduce the potential for deeper nocturnal drops, while scattered showers may further suppress temperature decline. Historical late-August baselines place average lows near 13.5°C, but the current warmer pattern keeps 16°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing. Final model runs and Météo-France updates through the evening will determine whether marginal clearing allows a brief dip toward 15°C or holds values near 17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日巴黎最低溫度？
8月29日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 46%
17°C 39%
15°C 13%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
13%
16°C
46%
17°C
39%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 39%
15°C 13%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C或以下
$19 交易量
<1%
12°C
$5 交易量
2%
13°C
$59 交易量
4%
14°C
$51 交易量
3%
15°C
$44 交易量
13%
16°C
$223 交易量
46%
17°C
$78 交易量
39%
18°C
$97 交易量
3%
19°C
$143 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C或以上
$6 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from European models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris on August 29 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling under a moderately moist airmass. Forecast soundings show dew points near 14–16°C and light-to-moderate winds, which reduce the potential for deeper nocturnal drops, while scattered showers may further suppress temperature decline. Historical late-August baselines place average lows near 13.5°C, but the current warmer pattern keeps 16°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing. Final model runs and Météo-France updates through the evening will determine whether marginal clearing allows a brief dip toward 15°C or holds values near 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$729結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from European models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris on August 29 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling under a moderately moist airmass. Forecast soundings show dew points near 14–16°C and light-to-moderate winds, which reduce the potential for deeper nocturnal drops, while scattered showers may further suppress temperature decline. Historical late-August baselines place average lows near 13.5°C, but the current warmer pattern keeps 16°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing. Final model runs and Météo-France updates through the evening will determine whether marginal clearing allows a brief dip toward 15°C or holds values near 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$729結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from European models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris on August 29 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling under a moderately moist airmass. Forecast soundings show dew points near 14–16°C and light-to-moderate winds, which reduce the potential for deeper nocturnal drops, while scattered showers may further suppress temperature decline. Historical late-August baselines place average lows near 13.5°C, but the current warmer pattern keeps 16°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing. Final model runs and Météo-France updates through the evening will determine whether marginal clearing allows a brief dip toward 15°C or holds values near 17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions