Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 交易量
$189,464 交易量
2026-05-04
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 交易量
$189,464 交易量
2026-05-04
16°C or below
$2,282 交易量
No
17°C
$6,301 交易量
No
18°C
$671 交易量
No
19°C
$1,242 交易量
No
20°C
$2,219 交易量
No
21°C
$4,390 交易量
No
22°C
$10,486 交易量
No
23°C
$16,474 交易量
No
24°C
$43,144 交易量
No
25°C
$25,433 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$76,821 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$189,464结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$189,464结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题