Strong high pressure over Texas is driving subsidence and mostly sunny skies across the Houston area, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s on August 16. National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on peak readings near 97°F, consistent with typical August climatology where daily maxima average 93–95°F and rarely exceed 100°F. Coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate moisture levels help cap temperatures below the 98–100°F range seen earlier in the month, while dew points near 75–78°F sustain heat indices above 100°F without pushing air temperatures higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 96–97°F bin as the latest forecast runs show limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月16日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
最新
$12,118 交易量
最新
$12,118 交易量
2026-08-16
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
68%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
最新
$12,118 交易量
最新
$12,118 交易量
2026-08-16
87°F or below
$273 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,481 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$399 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$551 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$1,849 交易量
11%
96-97°F
$4,718 交易量
68%
98-99°F
$1,508 交易量
20%
100-101°F
$491 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$305 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$187 交易量
<1%
106华氏度或更高
$764 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high pressure over Texas is driving subsidence and mostly sunny skies across the Houston area, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s on August 16. National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on peak readings near 97°F, consistent with typical August climatology where daily maxima average 93–95°F and rarely exceed 100°F. Coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate moisture levels help cap temperatures below the 98–100°F range seen earlier in the month, while dew points near 75–78°F sustain heat indices above 100°F without pushing air temperatures higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 96–97°F bin as the latest forecast runs show limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$12,118结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high pressure over Texas is driving subsidence and mostly sunny skies across the Houston area, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s on August 16. National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on peak readings near 97°F, consistent with typical August climatology where daily maxima average 93–95°F and rarely exceed 100°F. Coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate moisture levels help cap temperatures below the 98–100°F range seen earlier in the month, while dew points near 75–78°F sustain heat indices above 100°F without pushing air temperatures higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 96–97°F bin as the latest forecast runs show limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,118结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETStrong high pressure over Texas is driving subsidence and mostly sunny skies across the Houston area, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s on August 16. National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on peak readings near 97°F, consistent with typical August climatology where daily maxima average 93–95°F and rarely exceed 100°F. Coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate moisture levels help cap temperatures below the 98–100°F range seen earlier in the month, while dew points near 75–78°F sustain heat indices above 100°F without pushing air temperatures higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 96–97°F bin as the latest forecast runs show limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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