**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 交易量
$53,896 交易量
2026-04-28
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 交易量
$53,896 交易量
2026-04-28
9°C or below
$855 交易量
No
10°C
$1,511 交易量
No
11°C
$3,804 交易量
No
12°C
$3,176 交易量
No
13°C
$4,870 交易量
Yes
14°C
$18,600 交易量
No
15°C
$3,576 交易量
No
16°C
$6,407 交易量
No
17°C
$4,822 交易量
No
18°C
$3,087 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$3,188 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$53,896结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$53,896结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题