Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and Kew Gardens, recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 28, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders await final verification for resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Met Office and BBC Weather, which projected daytime peaks of 16–17°C amid morning drizzle, partial cloud cover, and fresh north-easterly winds of 14–15 mph that capped solar heating despite brief sunny spells around 3–5 p.m. Late-April climatological averages of 15–16°C highs provided baseline support following the early-month heatwave exceeding 26°C. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions from quality checks or overlooked urban heat island readings, though verified agency data rarely shifts post-publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 28?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,685 交易量
$165,685 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,685 交易量
$165,685 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 26, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and Kew Gardens, recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 28, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders await final verification for resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Met Office and BBC Weather, which projected daytime peaks of 16–17°C amid morning drizzle, partial cloud cover, and fresh north-easterly winds of 14–15 mph that capped solar heating despite brief sunny spells around 3–5 p.m. Late-April climatological averages of 15–16°C highs provided baseline support following the early-month heatwave exceeding 26°C. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions from quality checks or overlooked urban heat island readings, though verified agency data rarely shifts post-publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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