Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 9?
Highest temperature in London on May 9?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$174,241 交易量
$174,241 交易量
2026-05-09
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$174,241 交易量
$174,241 交易量
2026-05-09
15°C or below
$17,864 交易量
No
16°C
$8,249 交易量
No
17°C
$11,894 交易量
No
18°C
$20,688 交易量
No
19°C
$22,747 交易量
No
20°C
$26,391 交易量
Yes
21°C
$27,222 交易量
No
22°C
$18,743 交易量
No
23°C
$11,419 交易量
No
24°C
$4,698 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$4,326 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$174,241结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$174,241结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题