Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. High humidity near 75-85% and light easterly winds typical of the retreating monsoon are expected to moderate daytime heating, while scattered convection limits peaks near or below 34°C. Current conditions show similar readings around 32-34°C with ongoing storm chances. Updated IMD model runs and station observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift consensus toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日勒克瑙的最高温度?
33°C 52%
32°C 25%
34°C 17%
30°C 6%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
52%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 25%
34°C 17%
30°C 6%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
52%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. High humidity near 75-85% and light easterly winds typical of the retreating monsoon are expected to moderate daytime heating, while scattered convection limits peaks near or below 34°C. Current conditions show similar readings around 32-34°C with ongoing storm chances. Updated IMD model runs and station observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift consensus toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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