Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 交易量
$8,008 交易量
2026-05-26
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 交易量
$8,008 交易量
2026-05-26
11°C or below
$506 交易量
No
12°C
$452 交易量
No
13°C
$439 交易量
No
14°C
$459 交易量
No
15°C
$452 交易量
No
16°C
$452 交易量
No
17°C
$467 交易量
No
18°C
$463 交易量
No
19°C
$668 交易量
No
20°C
$1,633 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$2,015 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$8,008结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,008结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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