**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日旧金山气温最高？
6月11日旧金山气温最高？
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$138,305 交易量
$138,305 交易量
2026-06-11
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
是
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100华氏度或更高
否
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$138,305 交易量
$138,305 交易量
2026-06-11
81°F或以下
$14,271 交易量
否
82-83°F
$9,839 交易量
否
84-85°F
$9,675 交易量
否
86-87°F
$7,890 交易量
否
88-89°F
$18,069 交易量
否
90-91°F
$25,566 交易量
是
92-93°F
$21,059 交易量
否
94-95°F
$16,766 交易量
否
96-97°F
$8,912 交易量
否
98-99°F
$5,327 交易量
否
100华氏度或更高
$931 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
交易量
$138,305结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$138,305结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题