National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,355 交易量
$17,355 交易量
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,355 交易量
$17,355 交易量
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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