Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 交易量
$22,874 交易量
2026-04-27
10°C or below
No
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 交易量
$22,874 交易量
2026-04-27
10°C or below
$2,153 交易量
No
11°C
$1,858 交易量
否
12°C
$1,433 交易量
否
13°C
$1,870 交易量
否
14°C
$5,542 交易量
是
15°C
$987 交易量
否
16°C
$3,091 交易量
否
17°C
$1,145 交易量
否
18°C
$967 交易量
否
19°C
$537 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$3,291 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$22,874结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,874结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题