Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月26日上海最低气温?
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 交易量
$24,683 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 交易量
$24,683 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题