Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 10, projecting a maximum temperature of 14°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol under partly sunny skies with 30% sunshine, a 20% precipitation chance, and moderate southerly winds at force 3—driving the 27% implied probability for 14°C and nearby outcomes like 15°C (24.5%) and 16°C (19%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster around 13–15°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe, though variability in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing could push highs 1–2°C higher if clearer conditions emerge. This spring pattern aligns with April climatology (average highs ~12–13°C), but short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon model updates and tomorrow's hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 27%
15°C 24%
16°C 19%
13°C 15%
$15,834 Vol.
$15,834 Vol.
12 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
15%
14°C
27%
15°C
24%
16°C
19%
17°C or higher
10%
14°C 27%
15°C 24%
16°C 19%
13°C 15%
$15,834 Vol.
$15,834 Vol.
12 abr 2026
7°C or below
$3,537 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$866 Vol.
2%
11°C
$3,716 Vol.
1%
12°C
$585 Vol.
5%
13°C
$388 Vol.
15%
14°C
$503 Vol.
27%
15°C
$484 Vol.
24%
16°C
$622 Vol.
19%
17°C or higher
$950 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 10, projecting a maximum temperature of 14°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol under partly sunny skies with 30% sunshine, a 20% precipitation chance, and moderate southerly winds at force 3—driving the 27% implied probability for 14°C and nearby outcomes like 15°C (24.5%) and 16°C (19%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster around 13–15°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe, though variability in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing could push highs 1–2°C higher if clearer conditions emerge. This spring pattern aligns with April climatology (average highs ~12–13°C), but short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon model updates and tomorrow's hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$15,834Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 10, projecting a maximum temperature of 14°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol under partly sunny skies with 30% sunshine, a 20% precipitation chance, and moderate southerly winds at force 3—driving the 27% implied probability for 14°C and nearby outcomes like 15°C (24.5%) and 16°C (19%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster around 13–15°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe, though variability in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing could push highs 1–2°C higher if clearer conditions emerge. This spring pattern aligns with April climatology (average highs ~12–13°C), but short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon model updates and tomorrow's hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,834Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 10, projecting a maximum temperature of 14°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol under partly sunny skies with 30% sunshine, a 20% precipitation chance, and moderate southerly winds at force 3—driving the 27% implied probability for 14°C and nearby outcomes like 15°C (24.5%) and 16°C (19%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster around 13–15°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe, though variability in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing could push highs 1–2°C higher if clearer conditions emerge. This spring pattern aligns with April climatology (average highs ~12–13°C), but short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon model updates and tomorrow's hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes