Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance forecasting partly sunny skies and highs in the mid-50s to near 60°F amid persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. Today's observed high near 77°F under breezy south winds reflects downslope warming effects from this pattern, with minimal cloud cover allowing peak solar heating; model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on mild daytime conditions despite a Freeze Watch for radiational cooling to near-freezing lows overnight. Historical April 17 normals hover around 62°F, contextualizing the low odds (under 2% each) for sub-50°F outcomes barring unexpected cloudiness or precipitation from an approaching shortwave trough—next NWS updates expected early morning April 17 could refine trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 17 de abril?
54°F o más 78%
52-53°F 14%
50-51°F 6%
46-47°F 1.4%
$29,670 Vol.
$29,670 Vol.
35°F o menos
1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49 °F
1%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
14%
54°F o más
78%
54°F o más 78%
52-53°F 14%
50-51°F 6%
46-47°F 1.4%
$29,670 Vol.
$29,670 Vol.
35°F o menos
1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49 °F
1%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
14%
54°F o más
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature reaching 54°F or higher on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance forecasting partly sunny skies and highs in the mid-50s to near 60°F amid persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. Today's observed high near 77°F under breezy south winds reflects downslope warming effects from this pattern, with minimal cloud cover allowing peak solar heating; model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on mild daytime conditions despite a Freeze Watch for radiational cooling to near-freezing lows overnight. Historical April 17 normals hover around 62°F, contextualizing the low odds (under 2% each) for sub-50°F outcomes barring unexpected cloudiness or precipitation from an approaching shortwave trough—next NWS updates expected early morning April 17 could refine trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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