Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing district highs of 25–29°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. AccuWeather aligns at 29°C (84°F), but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 26°C or below, while partial clearing favors 28–29°C. Sea breezes from the Pearl River Delta and urban heat island effects at the official observation station further differentiate outcomes, against April's climatological average of 26°C amid a recent warm-up from today's 31°C. Evening model updates and early observations will sharpen probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
$356 Vol.
22%
27°C
$162 Vol.
20%
28°C
$196 Vol.
21%
29°C
$166 Vol.
21%
30°C
$308 Vol.
10%
31°C
$364 Vol.
11%
32°C
$595 Vol.
2%
33°C
$442 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,640 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing district highs of 25–29°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. AccuWeather aligns at 29°C (84°F), but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 26°C or below, while partial clearing favors 28–29°C. Sea breezes from the Pearl River Delta and urban heat island effects at the official observation station further differentiate outcomes, against April's climatological average of 26°C amid a recent warm-up from today's 31°C. Evening model updates and early observations will sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$7,417Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing district highs of 25–29°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. AccuWeather aligns at 29°C (84°F), but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 26°C or below, while partial clearing favors 28–29°C. Sea breezes from the Pearl River Delta and urban heat island effects at the official observation station further differentiate outcomes, against April's climatological average of 26°C amid a recent warm-up from today's 31°C. Evening model updates and early observations will sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,417Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing district highs of 25–29°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. AccuWeather aligns at 29°C (84°F), but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 26°C or below, while partial clearing favors 28–29°C. Sea breezes from the Pearl River Delta and urban heat island effects at the official observation station further differentiate outcomes, against April's climatological average of 26°C amid a recent warm-up from today's 31°C. Evening model updates and early observations will sharpen probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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