Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (46%) or 82-83°F (34.5%) in Houston on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 84°F amid persistent southerly winds and partly sunny skies. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, which show continued warm air advection following observed highs near 83°F on April 15 under similar light cloud cover and sparse precipitation. Upper-level ridging maintains above-normal temperatures—well above the mid-April climatological average of 79°F—though low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty, with isolated clouds potentially capping peaks at 82-83°F. New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 37%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 10%
$14,945 Vol.
$14,945 Vol.
79°F or below
4%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 37%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 10%
$14,945 Vol.
$14,945 Vol.
79°F or below
4%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (46%) or 82-83°F (34.5%) in Houston on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 84°F amid persistent southerly winds and partly sunny skies. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, which show continued warm air advection following observed highs near 83°F on April 15 under similar light cloud cover and sparse precipitation. Upper-level ridging maintains above-normal temperatures—well above the mid-April climatological average of 79°F—though low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty, with isolated clouds potentially capping peaks at 82-83°F. New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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