Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Jakarta on April 17, with 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under clear skies and light sea breezes from the Java Sea, building on recent daytime highs averaging 32°C amid April's dry season onset and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis. Differentiating factors include potential isolated cumulus clouds capping heat at 32°C or stronger solar insolation pushing to 34°C; watch BMKG's next advisory for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
27°C or below
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,351 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,673 Vol.
1%
30°C
$875 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,130 Vol.
8%
32°C
$337 Vol.
18%
33°C
$448 Vol.
35%
34°C
$420 Vol.
28%
35°C
$531 Vol.
6%
36°C
$642 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$653 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Jakarta on April 17, with 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under clear skies and light sea breezes from the Java Sea, building on recent daytime highs averaging 32°C amid April's dry season onset and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis. Differentiating factors include potential isolated cumulus clouds capping heat at 32°C or stronger solar insolation pushing to 34°C; watch BMKG's next advisory for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$9,494Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Jakarta on April 17, with 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under clear skies and light sea breezes from the Java Sea, building on recent daytime highs averaging 32°C amid April's dry season onset and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis. Differentiating factors include potential isolated cumulus clouds capping heat at 32°C or stronger solar insolation pushing to 34°C; watch BMKG's next advisory for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,494Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 33°C high in Jakarta on April 17, with 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under clear skies and light sea breezes from the Java Sea, building on recent daytime highs averaging 32°C amid April's dry season onset and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis. Differentiating factors include potential isolated cumulus clouds capping heat at 32°C or stronger solar insolation pushing to 34°C; watch BMKG's next advisory for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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