Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de abril?
78-79°F 37%
77°F o menos 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 14%
NUEVO
$25,786 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,786 Vol.
17 abr 2026
77°F o menos
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 37%
77°F o menos 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 14%
NUEVO
$25,786 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,786 Vol.
17 abr 2026
77°F o menos
$3,736 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$2,280 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$1,365 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$1,012 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$1,563 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$1,766 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$4,676 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,112 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,839 Vol.
<1%
96°F o más
$3,242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$25,786Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,786Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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