Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high temperature near 20°C in Seoul on April 17, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher as traders weigh consensus against typical spring uncertainties. Recent observations show April 16 highs around 17–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, supporting continued daytime heating from building continental high pressure that enhances solar insolation and suppresses mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 17°C, but current upper-air ridging favors above-normal warmth; 24% odds on exactly 17°C reflect potential for increased cloudiness or northerly gusts lowering peaks. KMA updates expected hourly through resolution will clarify boundary-layer evolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 17 de abril?
18°C o más 69%
17°C 22%
16°C 8%
15°C 2.2%
NUEVO
$105,697 Vol.
NUEVO
$105,697 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
22%
18°C o más
69%
18°C o más 69%
17°C 22%
16°C 8%
15°C 2.2%
NUEVO
$105,697 Vol.
NUEVO
$105,697 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C o menos
$16,702 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$10,842 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5,502 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5,084 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,604 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,347 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10,932 Vol.
1%
15°C
$9,821 Vol.
2%
16°C
$8,974 Vol.
8%
17°C
$6,471 Vol.
22%
18°C o más
$16,811 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high temperature near 20°C in Seoul on April 17, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher as traders weigh consensus against typical spring uncertainties. Recent observations show April 16 highs around 17–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, supporting continued daytime heating from building continental high pressure that enhances solar insolation and suppresses mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 17°C, but current upper-air ridging favors above-normal warmth; 24% odds on exactly 17°C reflect potential for increased cloudiness or northerly gusts lowering peaks. KMA updates expected hourly through resolution will clarify boundary-layer evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$105,697Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high temperature near 20°C in Seoul on April 17, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher as traders weigh consensus against typical spring uncertainties. Recent observations show April 16 highs around 17–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, supporting continued daytime heating from building continental high pressure that enhances solar insolation and suppresses mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 17°C, but current upper-air ridging favors above-normal warmth; 24% odds on exactly 17°C reflect potential for increased cloudiness or northerly gusts lowering peaks. KMA updates expected hourly through resolution will clarify boundary-layer evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$105,697Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high temperature near 20°C in Seoul on April 17, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher as traders weigh consensus against typical spring uncertainties. Recent observations show April 16 highs around 17–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, supporting continued daytime heating from building continental high pressure that enhances solar insolation and suppresses mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 17°C, but current upper-air ridging favors above-normal warmth; 24% odds on exactly 17°C reflect potential for increased cloudiness or northerly gusts lowering peaks. KMA updates expected hourly through resolution will clarify boundary-layer evolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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