Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance forecasts a high near 30°C in central Israel on April 17, but international models like ECMWF and trader sentiment aggregate to imply a peak around 34–35°C in Tel Aviv, reflecting an intense early-spring heatwave with recent days exceeding 30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and hot Saharan air advection. Clear skies and low humidity enhance daytime heating, though coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks at the official Tel Aviv station. Probabilities cluster tightly—46% for 35°C or higher, 27% for 34°C—highlighting model consensus on upper-30s outcomes against April climatological averages of 23–25°C, with new 12z runs and real-time observations likely to sharpen resolution before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 47%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
$16,606 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,606 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
47%
35°C or higher 47%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
$16,606 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,606 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,426 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,625 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,345 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,312 Vol.
19%
34°C
$1,327 Vol.
27%
35°C or higher
$2,812 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance forecasts a high near 30°C in central Israel on April 17, but international models like ECMWF and trader sentiment aggregate to imply a peak around 34–35°C in Tel Aviv, reflecting an intense early-spring heatwave with recent days exceeding 30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and hot Saharan air advection. Clear skies and low humidity enhance daytime heating, though coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks at the official Tel Aviv station. Probabilities cluster tightly—46% for 35°C or higher, 27% for 34°C—highlighting model consensus on upper-30s outcomes against April climatological averages of 23–25°C, with new 12z runs and real-time observations likely to sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$16,606Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance forecasts a high near 30°C in central Israel on April 17, but international models like ECMWF and trader sentiment aggregate to imply a peak around 34–35°C in Tel Aviv, reflecting an intense early-spring heatwave with recent days exceeding 30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and hot Saharan air advection. Clear skies and low humidity enhance daytime heating, though coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks at the official Tel Aviv station. Probabilities cluster tightly—46% for 35°C or higher, 27% for 34°C—highlighting model consensus on upper-30s outcomes against April climatological averages of 23–25°C, with new 12z runs and real-time observations likely to sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,606Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance forecasts a high near 30°C in central Israel on April 17, but international models like ECMWF and trader sentiment aggregate to imply a peak around 34–35°C in Tel Aviv, reflecting an intense early-spring heatwave with recent days exceeding 30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and hot Saharan air advection. Clear skies and low humidity enhance daytime heating, though coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks at the official Tel Aviv station. Probabilities cluster tightly—46% for 35°C or higher, 27% for 34°C—highlighting model consensus on upper-30s outcomes against April climatological averages of 23–25°C, with new 12z runs and real-time observations likely to sharpen resolution before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes