Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 10°C high temperature in Warsaw on April 10, 2026, driven by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW)'s synoptic forecast projecting maximums of 6–9°C amid moderate cloudiness, possible light rain or sleet, and a prevailing cold air mass over Poland. Current observations from local stations and aligned European model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF) show daytime peaks stabilizing near 9–10°C, bolstered by urban heat island effects in Warsaw despite below-average April norms of 12–13°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges like sudden clearing and solar heating could nudge readings to 11°C, though persistent low clouds minimize this; IMGW's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$125,128 Vol.
$125,128 Vol.
10 abr 2026
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$125,128 Vol.
$125,128 Vol.
10 abr 2026
10°C
$16,548 Vol.
100%
11°C
$9,907 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,454 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,702 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,592 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$4,613 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 10°C high temperature in Warsaw on April 10, 2026, driven by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW)'s synoptic forecast projecting maximums of 6–9°C amid moderate cloudiness, possible light rain or sleet, and a prevailing cold air mass over Poland. Current observations from local stations and aligned European model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF) show daytime peaks stabilizing near 9–10°C, bolstered by urban heat island effects in Warsaw despite below-average April norms of 12–13°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges like sudden clearing and solar heating could nudge readings to 11°C, though persistent low clouds minimize this; IMGW's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$125,128Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 10°C high temperature in Warsaw on April 10, 2026, driven by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW)'s synoptic forecast projecting maximums of 6–9°C amid moderate cloudiness, possible light rain or sleet, and a prevailing cold air mass over Poland. Current observations from local stations and aligned European model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF) show daytime peaks stabilizing near 9–10°C, bolstered by urban heat island effects in Warsaw despite below-average April norms of 12–13°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges like sudden clearing and solar heating could nudge readings to 11°C, though persistent low clouds minimize this; IMGW's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$125,128Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 10°C high temperature in Warsaw on April 10, 2026, driven by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW)'s synoptic forecast projecting maximums of 6–9°C amid moderate cloudiness, possible light rain or sleet, and a prevailing cold air mass over Poland. Current observations from local stations and aligned European model ensembles (e.g., ECMWF) show daytime peaks stabilizing near 9–10°C, bolstered by urban heat island effects in Warsaw despite below-average April norms of 12–13°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges like sudden clearing and solar heating could nudge readings to 11°C, though persistent low clouds minimize this; IMGW's end-of-day summary will finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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