Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 10?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$133,950 Vol.
$133,950 Vol.
10 abr 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$133,950 Vol.
$133,950 Vol.
10 abr 2026
22°C or below
$4,499 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,087 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,776 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,662 Vol.
No
26°C
$18,433 Vol.
No
27°C
$19,213 Vol.
No
28°C
$21,217 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$18,335 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,394 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,898 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$8,435 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$133,950Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$133,950Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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