Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 10 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 10 de abril?
35°C 100.0%
27°C o menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$5,875 Vol.
$5,875 Vol.
10 abr 2026
27°C o menos
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Sí
36°C
No
37°C o más
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C o menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$5,875 Vol.
$5,875 Vol.
10 abr 2026
27°C o menos
$279 Vol.
No
28°C
$528 Vol.
No
29°C
$235 Vol.
No
30°C
$518 Vol.
No
31°C
$320 Vol.
No
32°C
$259 Vol.
No
33°C
$341 Vol.
No
34°C
$138 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,175 Vol.
Sí
36°C
$1,484 Vol.
No
37°C o más
$599 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$5,875Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,875Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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