Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.6% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 16—only 9% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal per National Weather Service data. No measurable rainfall has occurred since April 5 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and warmer-than-average temperatures peaking at 87°F on April 14. NOAA forecast model ensembles indicate below-normal precipitation odds for the Northeast through late April, with minimal storm track threats in the remaining two weeks, though sudden shifts in jet stream patterns could introduce uncertainty; watch for updated Climate Prediction Center outlooks and short-range GFS runs for potential changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
<2" 58.8%
2-3" 21%
4-5" 6.0%
>6" 5.6%
$46,537 Vol.
$46,537 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
59%
2-3"
21%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 58.8%
2-3" 21%
4-5" 6.0%
>6" 5.6%
$46,537 Vol.
$46,537 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
$10,014 Vol.
59%
2-3"
$12,177 Vol.
21%
3-4"
$9,362 Vol.
3%
4-5"
$12,862 Vol.
6%
5-6"
$1,071 Vol.
2%
>6"
$1,051 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.6% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 16—only 9% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal per National Weather Service data. No measurable rainfall has occurred since April 5 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and warmer-than-average temperatures peaking at 87°F on April 14. NOAA forecast model ensembles indicate below-normal precipitation odds for the Northeast through late April, with minimal storm track threats in the remaining two weeks, though sudden shifts in jet stream patterns could introduce uncertainty; watch for updated Climate Prediction Center outlooks and short-range GFS runs for potential changes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$46,537Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.6% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 16—only 9% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal per National Weather Service data. No measurable rainfall has occurred since April 5 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and warmer-than-average temperatures peaking at 87°F on April 14. NOAA forecast model ensembles indicate below-normal precipitation odds for the Northeast through late April, with minimal storm track threats in the remaining two weeks, though sudden shifts in jet stream patterns could introduce uncertainty; watch for updated Climate Prediction Center outlooks and short-range GFS runs for potential changes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46,537Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.6% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 16—only 9% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal per National Weather Service data. No measurable rainfall has occurred since April 5 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and warmer-than-average temperatures peaking at 87°F on April 14. NOAA forecast model ensembles indicate below-normal precipitation odds for the Northeast through late April, with minimal storm track threats in the remaining two weeks, though sudden shifts in jet stream patterns could introduce uncertainty; watch for updated Climate Prediction Center outlooks and short-range GFS runs for potential changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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