Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a stable winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs on August 15 expected near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical August climatology in the region, where average highs reach about 15–17°C as the Southern Hemisphere winter transitions slowly. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, suppressing temperatures above 17°C while preventing sharp drops below 15°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with minor upward revisions in recent model runs supporting the slight edge for 16°C. Updated observations and next-day guidance from regional services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 42%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
23%
16°C
42%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
13°C
$357 Vol.
3%
14°C
$91 Vol.
5%
15°C
$951 Vol.
23%
16°C
$2,930 Vol.
42%
17°C
$305 Vol.
20%
18°C
$31 Vol.
5%
19°C
$68 Vol.
2%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a stable winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs on August 15 expected near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical August climatology in the region, where average highs reach about 15–17°C as the Southern Hemisphere winter transitions slowly. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, suppressing temperatures above 17°C while preventing sharp drops below 15°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with minor upward revisions in recent model runs supporting the slight edge for 16°C. Updated observations and next-day guidance from regional services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$5,089End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a stable winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs on August 15 expected near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical August climatology in the region, where average highs reach about 15–17°C as the Southern Hemisphere winter transitions slowly. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, suppressing temperatures above 17°C while preventing sharp drops below 15°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with minor upward revisions in recent model runs supporting the slight edge for 16°C. Updated observations and next-day guidance from regional services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,089End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a stable winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs on August 15 expected near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical August climatology in the region, where average highs reach about 15–17°C as the Southern Hemisphere winter transitions slowly. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, suppressing temperatures above 17°C while preventing sharp drops below 15°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with minor upward revisions in recent model runs supporting the slight edge for 16°C. Updated observations and next-day guidance from regional services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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