Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 20?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 20?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
May 20, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
May 20, 2026
22°C or below
$680 Vol.
No
23°C
$5 Vol.
No
24°C
$834 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,853 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,922 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,491 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,242 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,474 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,026 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,514 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$5,377 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$36,418End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,418End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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