Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station— the market's resolution source—peaking near 12°C midday amid northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Finnish Meteorological Institute hourly forecasts confirm this positioning, projecting no further warming with evening temperatures dropping to 7–10°C under a stable post-frontal airmass, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement on subdued solar heating. Early May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C. Realistic challenges are minimal this late in the day, though unexpected prolonged clearing could marginally boost readings by 1–2°C before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 6?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$40,693 Vol.
$40,693 Vol.
May 6, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$40,693 Vol.
$40,693 Vol.
May 6, 2026
6°C or below
$202 Vol.
No
7°C
$257 Vol.
No
8°C
$830 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,535 Vol.
No
10°C
$10,277 Vol.
No
11°C
$4,477 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,156 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$3,942 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,085 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,217 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$1,714 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station— the market's resolution source—peaking near 12°C midday amid northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Finnish Meteorological Institute hourly forecasts confirm this positioning, projecting no further warming with evening temperatures dropping to 7–10°C under a stable post-frontal airmass, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement on subdued solar heating. Early May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C. Realistic challenges are minimal this late in the day, though unexpected prolonged clearing could marginally boost readings by 1–2°C before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volume
$40,693End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station— the market's resolution source—peaking near 12°C midday amid northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Finnish Meteorological Institute hourly forecasts confirm this positioning, projecting no further warming with evening temperatures dropping to 7–10°C under a stable post-frontal airmass, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement on subdued solar heating. Early May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C. Realistic challenges are minimal this late in the day, though unexpected prolonged clearing could marginally boost readings by 1–2°C before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,693End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, reflecting observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station— the market's resolution source—peaking near 12°C midday amid northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Finnish Meteorological Institute hourly forecasts confirm this positioning, projecting no further warming with evening temperatures dropping to 7–10°C under a stable post-frontal airmass, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement on subdued solar heating. Early May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C. Realistic challenges are minimal this late in the day, though unexpected prolonged clearing could marginally boost readings by 1–2°C before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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