Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), mirroring the Met Office's midday April 11 forecast update projecting a 14°C maximum amid sunny intervals and light showers. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover and frontal shower timing during peak afternoon heating (2-4pm), when rain probabilities hit 50%, potentially capping insolation and temperatures below 15°C or allowing brief sunny breaks to push higher. An active jet stream maintains mild Atlantic air masses consistent with April's climatological mean high of ~14°C, though blustery winds add variability. Watch for ECMWF and Met Office revisions this afternoon refining the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 13?
Highest temperature in London on April 13?
14°C 33%
13°C 25%
15°C 22%
16°C or higher 12%
$29,028 Vol.
$29,028 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
25%
14°C
33%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
12%
14°C 33%
13°C 25%
15°C 22%
16°C or higher 12%
$29,028 Vol.
$29,028 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
6°C or below
$2,138 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,892 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,242 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,071 Vol.
1%
10°C
$2,603 Vol.
1%
11°C
$2,782 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,595 Vol.
10%
13°C
$2,745 Vol.
25%
14°C
$3,122 Vol.
33%
15°C
$2,949 Vol.
22%
16°C or higher
$3,907 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), mirroring the Met Office's midday April 11 forecast update projecting a 14°C maximum amid sunny intervals and light showers. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover and frontal shower timing during peak afternoon heating (2-4pm), when rain probabilities hit 50%, potentially capping insolation and temperatures below 15°C or allowing brief sunny breaks to push higher. An active jet stream maintains mild Atlantic air masses consistent with April's climatological mean high of ~14°C, though blustery winds add variability. Watch for ECMWF and Met Office revisions this afternoon refining the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$29,028End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), mirroring the Met Office's midday April 11 forecast update projecting a 14°C maximum amid sunny intervals and light showers. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover and frontal shower timing during peak afternoon heating (2-4pm), when rain probabilities hit 50%, potentially capping insolation and temperatures below 15°C or allowing brief sunny breaks to push higher. An active jet stream maintains mild Atlantic air masses consistent with April's climatological mean high of ~14°C, though blustery winds add variability. Watch for ECMWF and Met Office revisions this afternoon refining the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,028End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in London on April 13 at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), mirroring the Met Office's midday April 11 forecast update projecting a 14°C maximum amid sunny intervals and light showers. This tight clustering stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover and frontal shower timing during peak afternoon heating (2-4pm), when rain probabilities hit 50%, potentially capping insolation and temperatures below 15°C or allowing brief sunny breaks to push higher. An active jet stream maintains mild Atlantic air masses consistent with April's climatological mean high of ~14°C, though blustery winds add variability. Watch for ECMWF and Met Office revisions this afternoon refining the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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