Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 10, backed by the National Weather Service's official climate summary for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), which recorded a maximum of 67°F at 2:48 PM PDT amid partly cloudy skies and average winds of 9.7 mph from the west. Cool onshore flow and persistent marine layer—common in spring under a weakening Pacific high-pressure ridge—suppressed daytime heating below the 68°F climatological normal (1991-2020), with relative humidity averaging 79%. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus from the prior 24-48 hours predicting subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare NWS data revisions from sensor audits or final quality-controlled reports shifting the peak value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 10?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$109,100 Vol.
$109,100 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$109,100 Vol.
$109,100 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 10, backed by the National Weather Service's official climate summary for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), which recorded a maximum of 67°F at 2:48 PM PDT amid partly cloudy skies and average winds of 9.7 mph from the west. Cool onshore flow and persistent marine layer—common in spring under a weakening Pacific high-pressure ridge—suppressed daytime heating below the 68°F climatological normal (1991-2020), with relative humidity averaging 79%. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus from the prior 24-48 hours predicting subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare NWS data revisions from sensor audits or final quality-controlled reports shifting the peak value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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