Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department project a maximum of 41°C in Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies and light westerly winds typical of pre-monsoon conditions, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This aligns with historical early-June averages of 38–42°C and recent observational trends showing above-normal temperatures by 2–3°C across Uttar Pradesh without significant moisture influx or convective activity to moderate peaks. Model consensus supports limited variability, though any unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized showers could shift the recorded high by 1°C at the official station, representing the primary realistic uncertainty before final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 9?
41°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
$44,037 Vol.
$44,037 Vol.
40°C or below
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
$44,037 Vol.
$44,037 Vol.
40°C or below
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department project a maximum of 41°C in Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies and light westerly winds typical of pre-monsoon conditions, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This aligns with historical early-June averages of 38–42°C and recent observational trends showing above-normal temperatures by 2–3°C across Uttar Pradesh without significant moisture influx or convective activity to moderate peaks. Model consensus supports limited variability, though any unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized showers could shift the recorded high by 1°C at the official station, representing the primary realistic uncertainty before final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions