Official observational data from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the National Weather Service's primary station for resolution, recorded a maximum temperature of 80°F at 1:53 PM on April 10, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus for the 80-81°F outcome. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 80°F amid a post-frontal boundary layer capped by cooler air masses and mostly cloudy skies that limited solar heating below April climatological norms of 83°F. Ensemble models like GFS had converged on subdued daytime peaks earlier in the week, reflecting low uncertainty as the event unfolded. Realistic challenges would require a rare quality-control revision in the final NWS Climatological Report, such as an equipment anomaly, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for routine conditions. Traders await the CLI summary for formal closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 10?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 10?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$145,365 Vol.
$145,365 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$145,365 Vol.
$145,365 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the National Weather Service's primary station for resolution, recorded a maximum temperature of 80°F at 1:53 PM on April 10, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus for the 80-81°F outcome. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 80°F amid a post-frontal boundary layer capped by cooler air masses and mostly cloudy skies that limited solar heating below April climatological norms of 83°F. Ensemble models like GFS had converged on subdued daytime peaks earlier in the week, reflecting low uncertainty as the event unfolded. Realistic challenges would require a rare quality-control revision in the final NWS Climatological Report, such as an equipment anomaly, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for routine conditions. Traders await the CLI summary for formal closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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