The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 Vol.
$216,560 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 Vol.
$216,560 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
17°C or below
$1,313 Vol.
No
18°C
$183 Vol.
No
19°C
$158 Vol.
No
20°C
$19,840 Vol.
No
21°C
$38,196 Vol.
No
22°C
$35,543 Vol.
No
23°C
$37,807 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$25,363 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,547 Vol.
No
26°C
$20,639 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$21,972 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$216,560End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$216,560End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions