The @khamenei_ir account, sharing archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei since his February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, drives trader uncertainty with erratic posting amid the ongoing Iran war and transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader, who is recovering from severe wounds reported April 11. Recent activity shows 6 posts April 1-13—including Easter-themed messages April 5—and 2 in the prior market window (April 7-14), down from March's higher volume of roughly 10. Closely matched top bins (10-14 and 20-24 posts at 24.6% each, <5 at 24%) reflect this variability; military escalations, Resistance Front updates, or official commemorations could cluster posts higher, while continued lull favors low outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
10-14 22.2%
35-39 21.3%
20-24 16.2%
60+ 14.1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 24, 2026
<5
28%
5-9
21%
10-14
22%
15-19
10%
20-24
16%
25-29
15%
30-34
2%
35-39
21%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
5%
55-59
1%
60+
11%
10-14 22.2%
35-39 21.3%
20-24 16.2%
60+ 14.1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 24, 2026
<5
$262 Vol.
28%
5-9
$263 Vol.
21%
10-14
$274 Vol.
22%
15-19
$219 Vol.
10%
20-24
$235 Vol.
16%
25-29
$311 Vol.
15%
30-34
$190 Vol.
2%
35-39
$217 Vol.
21%
40-44
$233 Vol.
3%
45-49
$239 Vol.
2%
50-54
$230 Vol.
5%
55-59
$225 Vol.
1%
60+
$262 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, sharing archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei since his February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, drives trader uncertainty with erratic posting amid the ongoing Iran war and transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader, who is recovering from severe wounds reported April 11. Recent activity shows 6 posts April 1-13—including Easter-themed messages April 5—and 2 in the prior market window (April 7-14), down from March's higher volume of roughly 10. Closely matched top bins (10-14 and 20-24 posts at 24.6% each, <5 at 24%) reflect this variability; military escalations, Resistance Front updates, or official commemorations could cluster posts higher, while continued lull favors low outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,159End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, sharing archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei since his February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, drives trader uncertainty with erratic posting amid the ongoing Iran war and transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader, who is recovering from severe wounds reported April 11. Recent activity shows 6 posts April 1-13—including Easter-themed messages April 5—and 2 in the prior market window (April 7-14), down from March's higher volume of roughly 10. Closely matched top bins (10-14 and 20-24 posts at 24.6% each, <5 at 24%) reflect this variability; military escalations, Resistance Front updates, or official commemorations could cluster posts higher, while continued lull favors low outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,159End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, sharing archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei since his February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, drives trader uncertainty with erratic posting amid the ongoing Iran war and transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader, who is recovering from severe wounds reported April 11. Recent activity shows 6 posts April 1-13—including Easter-themed messages April 5—and 2 in the prior market window (April 7-14), down from March's higher volume of roughly 10. Closely matched top bins (10-14 and 20-24 posts at 24.6% each, <5 at 24%) reflect this variability; military escalations, Resistance Front updates, or official commemorations could cluster posts higher, while continued lull favors low outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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