Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 79–80°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 76–81°F. Standard August climatology features average lows of 78°F amid high humidity that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat retention and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms absent a stronger frontal passage, though variable cloud cover or convective timing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges rarely falling below 74°F, sustaining balanced probabilities until final observations resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 7?
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 4%
74-75°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
69%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 4%
74-75°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
69°F or below
$339 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$748 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$166 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$191 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$509 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$892 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$678 Vol.
69%
82-83°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$959 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 79–80°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 76–81°F. Standard August climatology features average lows of 78°F amid high humidity that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat retention and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms absent a stronger frontal passage, though variable cloud cover or convective timing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges rarely falling below 74°F, sustaining balanced probabilities until final observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,903End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 79–80°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 76–81°F. Standard August climatology features average lows of 78°F amid high humidity that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat retention and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms absent a stronger frontal passage, though variable cloud cover or convective timing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges rarely falling below 74°F, sustaining balanced probabilities until final observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,903End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 79–80°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 76–81°F. Standard August climatology features average lows of 78°F amid high humidity that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat retention and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms absent a stronger frontal passage, though variable cloud cover or convective timing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges rarely falling below 74°F, sustaining balanced probabilities until final observations resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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