Utah’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 41 points in the prior presidential election and recent ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Phil Lyman, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Democrat Kent Udell faces the nominee with limited resources and no major polling or fundraising momentum that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results rather than any specific late-cycle development. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unexpected national realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
$12,265 Vol.
$12,265 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,265 Vol.
$12,265 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,834 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 41 points in the prior presidential election and recent ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Phil Lyman, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Democrat Kent Udell faces the nominee with limited resources and no major polling or fundraising momentum that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results rather than any specific late-cycle development. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unexpected national realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$12,265End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 41 points in the prior presidential election and recent ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Phil Lyman, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Democrat Kent Udell faces the nominee with limited resources and no major polling or fundraising momentum that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results rather than any specific late-cycle development. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unexpected national realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,265End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 41 points in the prior presidential election and recent ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Phil Lyman, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Democrat Kent Udell faces the nominee with limited resources and no major polling or fundraising momentum that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results rather than any specific late-cycle development. A significant scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unexpected national realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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